2012-12-11

An Easy Call

If you're in it for the long-term, I humbly suggest that a strong case could be made for shorting Rovio in the Summer of 2016*.

Why? Because, as USA Today reports, the "Angry Birds" franchise will hit the silver screen sometime during the Summer of 2016. That all seems fine and dandy right now, but 2016 is three and a half years from now. What on Earth makes Rovio think that the popularity of the "Angry Birds" franchise will endure for that much longer?

To put this in perspective, this is what Wired called the top 10 video games of 2009 (three years ago):
  1. "Left 4 Dead 2"
  2. "Assassin's Creed II"
  3. "New Super Mario Bros."
  4. "Batman: Arkham Asylum"
  5. "Punch Out!!"
  6. "Uncharted 2"
  7. "Rhythm Heaven"
  8. "Grand Theft Auto: Chinatown Wars"
  9. "Beatles Rock Band"
  10. "Flower"
Now, don't get me wrong, these are all probably great video games. (I wouldn't even know, really, since I don't play video games.) But when was the last time you heard anyone talking about them?

Anyway, count me in as having predicted that this "Angry Birds" film will be a flop.
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*Note: Anyone who takes investment advice from me is an idiot.